Kyle Larson (DK $ 11,800, DF $ 14,000)
He enjoyed the most dominant period of his career leading up to Nashville, winning back-to-back races and recording five straight first or second finishes. Larson was second at Darlington and Dover during that streak, and he led 263 laps at Dover. He must be considered the man to beat on Sunday.
Denny Hamlin (DK $ 10,100, DF $ 12,500)
Hamlin hasn’t finished outside the top 15 on a 750-horsepower track all year, and he’s averaging 3.83 in the six oval races that have used the package, leading over 200 laps at Martinsville and in Richmond. At that price, Hamlin can be the lead dog in a balanced lineup or can line up alongside Kyle Larson in a very hefty roster.
Kevin Harvick ($ 9,100 DK, $ 10,000 DF)
It was strange to see Harvick wrestle for leading towers and fight for wins, but it wasn’t exactly that great. He’s got 11 top-10s in all 16 races this season, and some of his best runs have come with the 750 horsepower package. Harvick finished sixth in Phoenix, Darlington and Dover, so he should at least provide a top 10 this weekend with the potential for a top-5.
Joey Logano ($ 8,900 DK, $ 11,000 DF)
He has looked lost at times on some of the bigger ovals this year, but Logano has been an absolute force on the 750 horsepower tracks. In the nine races with the package, he finished eight sixth or better, including five top-3s. Logano is an absolute bargain this weekend, especially at DraftKings.
Ryan Blaney ($ 8,700 DK, $ 10,500 FD)
Blaney may not have a steady rise from the top 5, but he offers a solid floor for an average price. He finished in the top 15 in 12 of 16 races this year, registering 11 top-10s. Blaney may not be a game changer for training, but he should be a safe option for cash contests.
Ross Chastain ($ 7,600 DK, $ 6,800 DF)
He has regained his rhythm in recent weeks, and the 750 horsepower tracks have been particularly gracious to him. In addition to the top 10 at COTA and Sonoma, he finished in the top 15 at Richmond, Darlington and Dover. Chastain should be one of the safest options for freeing up space for caps on Sundays.
Martin Truex Jr. ($ 10,400 DK, $ 13,000 DF)
Truex hasn’t been as consistent as some of the other top drivers, but his three wins came with the 750 horsepower package, including a dominant performance at Darlington when he led 248 laps. Truex also led over 100 laps in two additional races on 750 tracks. He has as many advantages as any pilot out in the field this weekend, and he’s the man to go for if you’re planning to take Denny Hamlin and / or Kyle Larson out.
William Byron ($ 9,700 DK, $ 11,500 DF)
He’s been strong for most of the year, and on the oval tracks that showcased the 750 horsepower package, Byron didn’t finish worse than eighth. He finished fourth at Darlington and Dover. He is among the top 5 candidates with the potential to dominate and could prove to be an effective pivot to the best options.
Christopher Bell ($ 8,400 DK, $ 9,000 DF)
Although Bell struggled on many intermediate ovals, he showed muscle on the 750 horsepower tracks. In addition to his victory at the Daytona Roval, Bell placed in the top 10 in Phoenix, Martinsville and Richmond and placed in the top 15 in Darlington. He could be a great mid-price opponent for guys like Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, or Kevin Harvick.
Bubba Wallace ($ 6,500 DK, $ 5,000 FD)
There were growing challenges for Wallace and 23XI Racing, but he landed the top 15 in three of the four races leading to Nashville, netting an 11th place in Dover. If he can keep the momentum going, he could end up being a good deal at this price.
Chase Briscoe ($ 6,200 DK, $ 5,000 FD)
It’s been a tough rookie year for Briscoe, but one of his best runs came at Darlington a few weeks ago when he finished 11th. There’s no guarantee that success will continue in Nashville, but there are enough similarities between the two tracks to take a chance on Briscoe, especially if he is starting in the back half of the field.
Corey LaJoie (DK $ 5,700, DF $ 4,000)
He has seen a slight uptick in results in recent weeks, averaging 21.9 over the last eight races. LaJoie has finished 22nd or better on six occasions during that span, so if he qualifies around 30th, he’s worth a flyer as a source of ceiling relief at both DFS venues.